ERCOFTAC, is proud to announce a landmark course on the topic of uncertainty management and quantification in industrial analysis and design. This is a two day course taking place at GE, Munich, Germany, March 3-4 2011.

Uncertainty quantification is a new paradigm in industrial analysis and design as it aims at taking into account the presence of numerous uncertainties affecting the behavior of physical systems. Dominating uncertainties can be either be operational (such as boundary conditions) and/or geometrical resulting from unknown properties, such as tip clearances of rotating compressor blades or from manufacturing tolerances. Whether bringing a new product from conception into production or operating complex plant and production processes, commercial success rests on careful management and control of risk in the face of many interacting uncertainties. For example a new aircraft or aero-engine must be designed and engineered within a given time frame and budget to meet a given set of performance requirements, and then manufactured at unit cost and rates that meet an overall business plan. Today’s fiercely competitive market and increasingly stringent regulatory environment is such that there is very little margin of error. Failure to appreciate, understand and appropriately manage risks inevitably results in severe financial penalties, and even irrevocable damage to reputation. The aim is to share the aspirations and requirements of leading companies in the fields of aerospace, energy, transport , health and safety, chemical,process, health and safety; review emerging methods and techniques and how these are being deployed; and define the current state-of-the-art and map out-near term future possibilities.

Speakers

Prof. Charles Hirsch , Numeca International, Belgium Prof. Anthony Hutton, ERCOFTAC,UK Ms. Anne Dutfoy, EDF, France Dr. Alain Dervieux, INRIA, France Dr. Vincent Couaillier, Onera, France Dr. Bernard Eisfeld, DLR, Germany Dr. Gilbert Roge, Dassault, France Dr. Alberto Pasanisi, EDF, France Dr. Alexander Karl, Rolls-Royce, USA

Fee: ERCOFTAC members: 490 Euros, Non-members 610 Euros. Please note that the fee includes refreshment, lunch, seminar dinner, and seminar material. Accommodation is not included in the fee.